Monday, March 31, 2014

We have endlessly pounced on clues

 
We have endlessly pounced on clues about Flight 370 — two passengers with stolen passports, a pilot with a flight simulator in his home,Buffalo Bills Tashard Choice iPhone 5C Case the presence of lithium batteries in the cargo hold — and consecutively concluded the plane was lost due to terrorism, pilot suicide, or catastrophic mechanical failure. But no wonder this story grips us: it is as if a whole village has been eaten, and there is a predator we haven't been able to detect.Custom Ezreal fashion design pure cotton hoody with a zipperBeing human, when it comes to our innate drives, we are seriously prone to overdoing it.Our store can offer cheap Dolce&Gabbana(women) Fashion shoes, welcome choose! In The Invisible Gorilla, Christopher Chabris and Daniel Simons write, "Our minds are built to detect meaning in patterns, to infer causal relationships from coincidences, and to believe earlier events cause later ones." Our extraordinary pattern-seeing abilities serve us well but also lead us astray.honeycomb paper ball  "At times,Custom Rammus cute hat we perceive patterns where none exist, and misperceive them when they do exist."This perhaps is why on CNN you can hear experts debate whether some satellite imagery supposedly identifying remains of the plane truly shows its debris, other ocean junk, or glints from the sun. 
Chabris and Simons also write that we love to order things not because we crave chronology but because we crave causation. This imperative can serve us well.As they point out, if you see your brother eat a fruit with dark spots and he later vomits, you will likely avoid a similar-looking fruit. If the cause was the spots, you've made a good conclusion, but if the illness was due to a virus, you've made an erroneous one. In the Flight 370 mystery, we've seen over and over this desire to alight on a single piece of data and make a sweeping conclusion.This is why Slate's Will Dobson debunked the brief frenzy over the idea that there was a connection between the disappearance of Flight 370 and the fact that the day before the flight, the captain of the plane, who supported an opponent of the Malaysian ruling party, attended that man's trial.

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