The
economic recession in Italy was confirmed by the latest reports from
the National Statistic Institute, which confirmed that the country's
economy contracted significantly in 2012, with more economic problems
expected going forward due to the continued drag of the country's
uncertain political situation.
ISTAT
reported last week that Italy's economy shrank by 2.4 percent last year
compared to 2011, its worst year-on-year growth rate since 2009 and the
ninth time in 11 years that Italy's growth trailed that of the European
Union as a while.
Other
indicators were bad as well, with unemployment rates, consumer
confidence, and the country's overall tax burden all worse in 2012 than
in 2011, according to ISTAT figures.
The
main economic indicator trending positively for Italy in recent months
has also taken a turn for the worst over the last week, as the country's
borrowing costs have risen markedly since voting in the country's
national elections closed last Monday with a stalemate: center-left
candidate Pier Luigi Bersani, the pre-election favorite, won the most
votes, narrowly edging former prime minister and billionaire business
mogul Silvio Berlusconi.
But
Bersani lacks the votes to gain a majority in the senate, parliament's
upper house, without striking a deal with either Berlusconi or
comedian-turned-activist Beppe Grillo,Vintage bath fixtures who leads the Five Star Movement emerging strongly before the general election in Feb.Crushing plant 24-25.
So
far talks between the three main blocs have failed to yield a result.
On Monday, the possibility of new elections emerged, further spooking
markets.
The
lack of a clear result is driving Italy's borrowing costs sharply
higher, closing Monday with a yield of 4.91 percent in secondary market
trading for the country's benchmark 10-year bond.
That
is the closest the bond has closed to the 5-percent threshold since
November. It reverses a downward trend that started in late 2011, after
Berlusconi resigned and was replaced by technocrat Prime Minister Mario
Monti.
Over that time, bonds yields fall from well above the unsustainable 7-percent level to a low of 4.09 percent in late January.
"Starting
in late January, about a month before the election, Berlusconi and
Grillo started to make gains in the polls and investors started to
become nervous," said Oliviero Fiorini, an analyst with Milan-based ABS
Securities. "Now that nervousness has turned into a real fear that
Italy's economic problems will return," he added.
Fiorini said investors,prepreg especially
internationally, fear that if Berlusconi or Grillo had a strong
influence on Italy's economic policies, their populist platforms would
make the country's bonds a less attractive investment than it was under
Monti. He said investors who have sold Italian bonds have reinvested the
cash in safer bonds,knife manufacturer like those of Germany, driving yields lower there.
But
while Italy's woes may have helped lower borrowing costs in the more
stable European Union countries, it has been a net loss for the
17-nation euro zone, where investor jitters have weakened the euro
currency against other major currencies. The dollar reached its
strongest point against the euro in nearly three months on Monday.China 4x4 Accessories wholesalers
Additionally,
the news out of Italy has helped drive up borrowing costs in other
troubled euro-zone economies including Spain, Portugal, and Greece. If
that helps push those countries closer to new requests for bailout
money, that would have ripples across the EU.
The
European Central Bank said Monday it is concerned, with the bank's
governor, Mario Draghi, saying the euro's strength and the EU's economic
prospects will be on the agenda when the bank's policy makers meet
March 7.
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